Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
25.5¢
+1.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 25.5%
$58.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. It specifies the exact exchange (Binance), the specific trading pair (SOL/USDT), the exact chart metric (1-minute candle final High), and the precise deadline (11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026). Resolution does not rely on subjective interpretation or third-party judgment, and it explicitly excludes prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana reaches or exceeds a price of $140 on Binance before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between the market creation time and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 records a final High price of $140 or greater. The market resolves to No if the price threshold is not reached during this period. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data serves as the sole deciding source, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — Deadline for the price threshold to be met at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance (SOL/USDT 1-minute candles)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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