Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
5.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$137.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has very clear and objective resolution criteria. It specifies the exact exchange (Binance), the specific trading pair (SOL/USDT), the exact metric (the final Low of any 1-minute candle), and the precise timeframe ending at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) drops to $50 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices from Binance's SOL/USDT pair, disregarding data from any other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT on Binance records a final Low price equal to or lower than $50 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if the SOL/USDT Low price on Binance remains strictly above $50 for all 1-minute candles throughout the entire designated timeframe. Resolution is decided exclusively by Binance data for the SOL/USDT trading pair viewed on 1-minute candle chart settings, excluding all other exchanges, spot markets, and pairs.
Key dates
- End date: — Market tracking concludes at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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