Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.85¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.85%
$14.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution rules provide precise and unambiguous criteria. The outcome relies strictly on the one-minute candle low prices of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance during the specified timeframe ending December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market clearly states that other exchanges, trading pairs, or historical prices prior to creation will not count, leaving no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) falls to $30 or lower by December 31, 2026, determined strictly by 1-minute candle low prices on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair records a final Low price equal to or lower than $30 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action prior to market creation does not count. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $30 or lower by the deadline. Resolution relies entirely on the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart; price data from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets is excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET on the final day of 2026
Resolution source
Binance (SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.