Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
16.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 16.5%
$37.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and precise mechanics for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on a single, specified trading pair (SOL/USDT) on Binance, using the final low of any one-minute candle between market inception and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The price threshold of $70 is unambiguous, and the rules explicitly state that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) dips to $70 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's SOL/USDT pair, ignoring other exchanges and price history prior to market creation.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT shows a final High or Low price equal to or lower than $70 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action before market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if no such candle meets or falls below $70 by that time. Resolution is decided strictly using Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT trading pair, disregarding data from any other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- End date: — Final cutoff time at 11:59 PM ET for the candle price check
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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