Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
53¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 53%
$8.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide a precise, objective resolution mechanism tied directly to a single, named source. The market resolves affirmatively if any one-minute candle on Binance's SOL/USDT pair records a low price at or below $90 between creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The data source is unambiguous, the threshold condition is clearly defined, and there is virtually no decider discretion involved.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) dips to $90 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution is specifically tied to Binance 1-minute candle data rather than index or cross-exchange prices.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than $90 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets do not count. Resolution is determined solely using the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff: — Market resolves based on 1-minute candles through 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.