Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
7.95¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 7.95%
$229.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market defines clear, objective resolution criteria tied to a specific data point: the final Low price of 1-minute candles on the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. The observation window is explicitly bounded with defined start and end timestamps in the Eastern Time zone. It triggers early resolution to Yes if the price touches or falls below $60 at any point during the window, and resolves to No at the deadline otherwise. The rules explicitly exclude prices from other exchanges or trading pairs, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous readings.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana drops to $60 or lower during the specified period. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $60. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below $60 by the end of this timeframe. Binance 1-minute SOL/USDT chart data is the sole deciding source; other pairs or exchanges are disregarded.
Key dates
- Monitoring begins: — Start of the 1-minute candle price tracking window in Eastern Time.
- Monitoring ends: — End of the price tracking window in Eastern Time.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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