Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
13¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 13%
$149.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules are precise and leave virtually no room for interpretation. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the final High price on any 1-minute SOL/USDT candle on Binance reaches or exceeds $160 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. If that threshold is not reached during the specified window, it resolves to No. The source is explicitly defined as Binance's SOL/USDT 1-minute chart data, and the rules specifically exclude other pairs or exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches or exceeds $160 on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT on Binance has a final High price equal to or greater than $160 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $160 by the end of this period. Resolution is determined exclusively using 1-minute candle High prices from Binance for the SOL/USDT pair, while data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is disregarded.
Key dates
- Measurement window begins: — First 1-minute candle evaluated for price threshold (ET timezone).
- Measurement window ends: — Market resolves to No if $160 is not reached by this time (ET timezone).
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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