Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
8.65¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 8.65%
$151.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined with an objective threshold and a single named data source. Resolution relies strictly on the final high price of Binance 1-minute candles for the SOL/USDT pair within a defined timeframe. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price reaches or exceeds $180 at any point during the window, or to No after the final deadline. Price action on other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana reaches or exceeds $180 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Resolution is restricted strictly to Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT on Binance between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET reaches a final High price of $180 or higher. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified window. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded. Binance 1-minute candle data for SOL/USDT serves as the sole resolution source.
Key dates
- Monitoring window begins: — Start of the price observation period at 14:30 ET.
- Monitoring window ends: — End of the price observation period at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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