Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
6¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6%
$83.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules are straightforward and objective. Resolution is tied to a single, clearly defined trading pair on Binance (SOL/USDT) using the 1-minute candle high price. The evaluation window specifies precise start and end times in Eastern Time, and the market resolves early if the threshold is met. Only price action recorded within this specific exchange pair during the defined window counts toward resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana reaches a price of $200 before the end of 2026, tracked specifically via Binance 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $200 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle High prices, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Tracking period starts: — 14:30 ET
- Tracking period ends: — 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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