Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
5.75¢
−1.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.75%
$39.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and objective resolution criteria. It resolves to Yes immediately if any one-minute candle on Binance for the SOL/USDT pair records a High price of $220 or more between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, ET. If that threshold is not met by the deadline, it resolves to No. The source is a single, well-defined exchange chart, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation, though participants should note that only the Binance SOL/USDT pair is tracked.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches a high price of $220 on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or greater than $220. The market resolves to No if no candle reaches that threshold within the specified period. Resolution is determined solely by Binance 1-minute candle price data for the SOL/USDT pair; prices from other exchanges, pairs, or markets do not count.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Start of the monitoring window for SOL/USDT 1-minute candles.
- End Date: — End of the monitoring window.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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