Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.1%
$75.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide precise, objective criteria for resolution. Outcome determination relies entirely on a single named source and specific trading pair (Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart). The threshold is defined as any 1-minute candle having a final high price equal to or exceeding $240 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. It specifies immediate resolution to Yes if the price target is reached within the window, and resolves to No otherwise, explicitly excluding other exchanges and trading pairs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana reaches or exceeds a price of $240 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Resolution strictly relies on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $240 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $240 by the end of this observation window. Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT pair determines the outcome, while prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation start: — Price tracking begins at 14:30 ET.
- Observation end: — Price tracking ends at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.