Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.55¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.55%
$30.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise and objective criteria. The market relies entirely on a single named exchange feed (Binance SOL/USDT one-minute candles) and clearly defines the metric as the final high price during each interval. The start time, expiration time, and timezone are explicitly stated, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the target price is touched or No once the timeframe elapses without reaching it. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $260 on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT on Binance records a final High price equal to or greater than $260 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no candle reaches this price threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart data, disregarding prices from other exchanges, pairs, or markets.
Key dates
- Start time: — Measurement period begins at 14:30 ET.
- End time: — Measurement period ends at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
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