Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.85¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.85%
$38.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise resolution criteria with an explicit threshold, timezone, start time, and end deadline. The outcome depends entirely on programmatic data from a single designated exchange pair (Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle highs), leaving no room for decider interpretation. Immediate early resolution applies if the price target is reached at any point during the observation window.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches a price of $280 or higher within a specified timeframe. Resolution is based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle High data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET shows a final High price equal to or greater than $280. The market resolves to No if the price does not reach this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined exclusively using Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle price data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation start: — Start of the 1-minute candle price observation window (ET).
- Observation end: — End of the price observation window (ET).
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.