Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.95¢
+0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.95%
$50.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules are explicitly defined with minimal ambiguity. Resolution relies directly on objective trade data from a single designated exchange and trading pair (Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle high). The evaluation window has precise start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and the threshold is clearly set at $300 or greater. The market resolves immediately if the target is met during the stated window, or to No after the final deadline passes. Because resolution depends on verifiable price records from a specific exchange chart without room for subjective interpretation, the rules are clear and leave little chance of an unexpected outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches or exceeds $300 on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) has a final High price equal to or greater than $300 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if the price threshold is not reached during this period. Resolution is determined exclusively by the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or separate spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation start: — Price tracking begins at 14:30 ET.
- Observation end: — Price tracking concludes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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