Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.15¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$68.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution rules are exceptionally precise and objective. The market specifies the exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (SOL/USDT), timeframe (1-minute candle), metric (candle High price), and observation window with clear start and end timestamps in Eastern Time. It resolves immediately to Yes if the $400 target is hit at any point during the window, or to No after the deadline passes. It also explicitly excludes data from other exchanges or trading pairs, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) reaches $400 or higher on Binance. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $400 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $400 during this specified period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded. Binance serves as the sole deciding data source.
Key dates
- Tracking start date: — Data tracking begins at 14:30 ET
- Tracking end date: — Data tracking ends at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.