Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$172.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution terms are explicit and leave virtually no room for interpretation. The market specifies a single deterministic data feed—the final High price of any 1-minute candle on Binance's SOL/USDT trading pair—along with exact start and end timestamps in Eastern Time. It resolves to Yes immediately if the target price is touched during the specified window, and resolves to No otherwise. It also clearly excludes all other trading pairs and exchanges, eliminating ambiguity regarding cross-exchange price discrepancies or flash spikes on unlisted markets.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL) reaches $600 by December 31, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the 1-minute candle high prices for the SOL/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $600 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified window. Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
Key dates
- Tracking window start: — Tracking begins at 14:30 ET.
- Tracking window end: — Tracking ends at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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