Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.65¢
+0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.65%
$1.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly defines the condition for resolution: a final Low price of $800 or lower on any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market will resolve early to Yes as soon as this threshold is met, and to No if the window closes without hitting it. Resolution relies strictly on a single, specified trading pair and data feed on Binance, leaving essentially no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. Anyone holding a position should simply be aware that price action is measured solely on Binance ETH/USDT, so a flash crash or wick unique to that specific pair and exchange will count.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $800 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on 1-minute candle low prices on the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair starting from November 24, 2025.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final Low price equal to or lower than $800. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $800 or lower during this period. Resolution depends solely on price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair; prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Price tracking begins at 14:00 ET
- End Date: — Price tracking ends at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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