Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
6.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.5%
$632.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules are straightforward and objective. Resolution depends entirely on whether any one-minute candle on Binance for the ETH/USDT pair records a low price equal to or below $1,250 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A direct URL to the designated exchange pair is supplied, leaving virtually no room for decider interpretation or discretionary judgment.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum falls to $1,250 or lower before the end of 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on 1-minute candle data from a single exchange trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final Low price of $1,250 or lower between the market creation date and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if ETH/USDT on Binance does not record a 1-minute candle Low at or below $1,250 during this period. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or external spot markets are excluded from consideration. Binance 1-minute chart data for ETH/USDT decides the outcome.
Key dates
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET on the final day for the price threshold to be met
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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