Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
0.95¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.95%
$2.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are straightforward and rely on an objective, named source. Resolution is tied exclusively to the 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, specifically looking for any candle with a low price of $600 or lower before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A position holder should note that price movements on other exchanges or alternative trading pairs (such as ETH/USD or ETH/USDC) do not count, so flash crashes or price anomalies restricted to other platforms will not trigger a positive resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $600 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a final Low price equal to or lower than $600. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by the ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart on Binance, ignoring prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — End of observation period at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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