Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.55¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.55%
$2.4M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single named source and trading pair. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle registers a low at or below $1,000 within the specified start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and otherwise resolves to No at the deadline. The resolution relies entirely on deterministic chart data with no decider latitude, though participants should be aware that flash wicks or price discrepancies exclusive to the Binance ETH/USDT order book govern the outcome regardless of pricing across other exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $1,000 or lower on Binance during the specified observation period.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or dips below $1,000 during this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start date: — Observation period begins (14:00 ET).
- End date: — Observation period ends (23:59 ET).
Resolution source
Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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