Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.05¢
−0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.05%
$566.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. Outcome determination relies entirely on a specified single source and trading pair (Binance ETH/USDT) using one-minute candle data within an explicitly defined timeframe and timezone. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the high price on any one-minute candle reaches or exceeds $5,000 during the window, and otherwise resolves to No after the final deadline. There is no decider discretion or ambiguous wording.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches or exceeds $5,000 against USDT on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT trading pair between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $5,000. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $5,000 within this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets.
Key dates
- Tracking window starts: — Candle tracking begins at 14:00 ET
- Tracking window ends: — Candle tracking closes at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.