Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.95¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.95%
$329.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution with precise parameters. Resolution relies on a single named exchange feed, specifically the one-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. The exact start and end timestamps are specified in Eastern Time, and the market resolves immediately to positive if the threshold is met, or to negative after the end date if it is not. Only prices from that exact trading pair on Binance are counted, leaving no room for decider discretion or competing data sources.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $5,500 or higher between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, based strictly on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or greater than $5,500. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution relies solely on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Tracking begins at 14:00 ET.
- End Date: — Tracking ends at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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