Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.4¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.4%
$339K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source. The market tracks the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart, requiring the final High price to meet or exceed $6,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. It resolves immediately to Yes upon hitting the target or to No after the deadline passes. The rules explicitly exclude other trading pairs and outside exchanges, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $6,000 against USDT on Binance before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or greater than $6,000. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that price within the timeframe. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle price data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start time: — Beginning of the monitoring window in Eastern Time.
- End time: — End of the monitoring window in Eastern Time.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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