Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.65¢
+0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.65%
$241.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market specifies unambiguous resolution criteria relying entirely on Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair. An exact URL, timeframe with explicit timezone (ET), and metric (the candle's final high price) are defined, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion. The market resolves immediately if the $6,500 threshold is reached during the specified window, and resolves to No if the deadline passes without a qualifying candle. The main technical detail to keep in mind is that price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum reaches or exceeds $6,500 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is determined specifically by the 1-minute candle high prices of the ETH/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market will resolve to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price of $6,500 or higher between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market will resolve to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this price threshold during the specified timeframe. Resolution is decided strictly using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle price data, disregarding prices from all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Observation window start: — Candle tracking begins in the ET timezone.
- Observation window end: — Candle tracking ends in the ET timezone.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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