Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.25¢
+0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.25%
$217.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined, relying on a specific exchange (Binance) and pair (ETH/USDT) with a precise metric—the final High price of any 1-minute candle reaching $7,000 or greater. The active timeframe is explicitly bounded between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET, with early resolution triggered immediately upon meeting the threshold. Participants should note that only this exact Binance pair is monitored; brief spikes or higher prices on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not count toward resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $7,000. It is determined exclusively by the 1-minute candle High prices for the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance within a specified timeframe.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) records a final High price equal to or greater than $7,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $7,000 within this specified period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets do not count toward resolution. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart price data.
Key dates
- Observation window begins: — Start of the price tracking period at 14:00 ET
- Observation window ends: — End of the price tracking period at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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