Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.05%
$257.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and objective resolution mechanics. It relies exclusively on a single named exchange feed, checking the one-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. The exact start and end timestamps including timezone are explicitly defined, and the market resolves immediately to positive if the threshold of $7,500 is touched at any point during the window, or negative after the end date if the price is never reached. Prices on other exchanges or alternative trading pairs are explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $7,500 by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from the Binance ETH/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final High price of $7,500 or greater between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this threshold during the specified timeframe. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle price data is the sole deciding source, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not considered.
Key dates
- Measurement window starts: — Candle tracking begins at 14:00 ET.
- Measurement window ends: — Market resolves to No if threshold is not met by 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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