Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$329.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single named data source and trading pair. Resolution relies on the final High price of 1-minute ETH/USDT candles on Binance reaching or exceeding $8,000 within an exact timeframe defined to the minute in Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold, or resolves negatively at the deadline if the level is not reached. Because it exclusively references the Binance ETH/USDT pair, price spikes or reaching the target price on other exchanges or currency pairs will not trigger a positive resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches or exceeds a price of $8,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, based strictly on Binance one-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance one-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) has a final High price of $8,000 or higher between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no Binance one-minute candle reaches or exceeds $8,000 during this window. Resolution relies solely on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle High prices, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation period starts: — 14:00 ET, start of price monitoring.
- Observation period ends: — 23:59 ET, final cutoff for reaching the price threshold.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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