Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
0.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$884.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the target price, the start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and the exact resolution mechanism. Resolution relies strictly on objective data from the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle high, leaving no discretion to the decider. The market will resolve early to Yes if the price reaches $10,000 at any point during the observation window, and to No if it does not reach that level by the deadline. Participants should only note that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not trigger a resolution if they do not register on the specified Binance pair.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $10,000 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is determined strictly by 1-minute candle high prices on the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair, excluding data from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle on Binance for the ETH/USDT trading pair records a final High price of $10,000 or higher between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $10,000 during this window. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded and will not be considered. Resolution is determined solely from Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Key dates
- Observation window starts: — Tracking begins at 14:00 ET.
- Observation window ends: — Tracking concludes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
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