Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$203.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market depends on the official outcome of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, primarily verified through official UEFA publications. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as AEK Athens is mathematically eliminated or fails to qualify, rather than waiting for the tournament final. In addition, if the tournament is cancelled or no champion is crowned by June 19, 2027, the market resolves to Other. Because tournament champion status is an objective sporting milestone with an authoritative governing body, the overall risk of an unexpected resolution is low.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AEK Athens will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market can resolve early if AEK Athens is eliminated from contention, and includes an "Other" outcome if the tournament is not completed by a specific deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if AEK Athens wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for AEK Athens to win the championship under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Champions League serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution Deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date, or if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
UEFA Champions League
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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