Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
6.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.5%
$866.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether Manchester City wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League title. The outcome relies on official information from UEFA, with standard early resolution to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention prior to the final. A clear deadline of June 19, 2027, is set in case the tournament is cancelled or postponed, leading to resolution as Other. The rules are direct and align closely with standard sports tournament outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Manchester City will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Manchester City to win the championship under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the UEFA Champions League, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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