PolymarketCloses · in 243 daysPart of UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion →

Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Current price

1.25¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 1.25%
$585.3K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.85–1.25¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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This market resolves based on official UEFA information determining whether Aston Villa wins the 2026-27 tournament. Early resolution is explicitly permitted to settle the market to No as soon as the team is officially eliminated from contention or cannot qualify. If the tournament is cancelled or finishes after the specific deadline of June 19, 2027, the market will resolve to Other rather than a standard Yes or No.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Med

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $866.7K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
1.22¢1.24¢1.26¢1.28¢14:4122:4006:3814:36
0.8¢1¢1.2¢1.4¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19
0.6¢0.8¢1¢1.2¢1.4¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 23Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Aston Villa will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. It includes an early resolution trigger to No upon elimination and a fallback to Other if the season is delayed past a specified cutoff date.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Aston Villa to win the championship under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the UEFA Champions League, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Resolution cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared

Resolution source

Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

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