Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
1.45¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.45%
$757K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward: the market resolves based on which team officially wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League title according to UEFA. The rules clearly allow early resolution to No if Manchester United is eliminated from contention at any point. There is also a precise backstop deadline of June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, resolving to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond that date, or fails to declare a winner. Official UEFA information serves as the primary authority, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Manchester United will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Manchester United wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Manchester United to win the title under UEFA rules, such as through tournament elimination. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from the UEFA Champions League serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or if no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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