Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
0.65¢
+0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$746K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define that the market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, primarily verified through official UEFA communications. The rules explicitly account for elimination by allowing early resolution to 'No' once it becomes mathematically impossible for Sporting CP to win. In the event of a cancellation or postponement past June 19, 2027, the market cleanly resolves to 'Other'. With official governing body reporting serving as the primary source and unambiguous criteria, there is minimal risk of unexpected resolution outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sporting CP will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. It includes a specific resolution cutoff date after which the market resolves to Other if no champion is determined.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sporting CP wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Sporting CP to win the championship under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Champions League serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff: — The season must declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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