Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$732.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the winner of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, relying primarily on official information from UEFA. The rules explicitly allow for early resolution to No if Lens is mathematically eliminated from contention prior to the final. A specific deadline of June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET is defined, resolving to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past that date, or fails to produce a champion within the timeframe. While consensus reporting is permitted as a secondary source, the primary authority is clearly established and the resolution criteria are unambiguous.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lens will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. It includes an early resolution trigger if the team is eliminated before the final, and resolves to Other if the season is cancelled or extended past June 19, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lens wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Lens to win the tournament per the competition rules, including if they are eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is decided based on official information from the UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond this date, or has no declared winner by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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