Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
2.3¢
+0.35¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.3%
$816.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies on official information from UEFA to determine the tournament winner. The criteria are straightforward, though participants should note that the market features an early resolution rule: it can resolve to No immediately once it is mathematically impossible for the team to win or if they are eliminated from contention. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond June 19, 2027 without a winner declared, the market will resolve to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Atlético Madrid will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Atlético Madrid wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Atlético Madrid to win the championship per UEFA Champions League rules, including elimination in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Champions League is the primary deciding source, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary option.
Key dates
- Season Resolution Cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this time or if no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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