Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
0.65¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$736K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has unambiguous resolution conditions tied directly to the winner of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. It specifies early resolution to No once elimination makes victory impossible, includes a clear long-stop date of June 19, 2027, resolving to Other if no champion is crowned by then, and relies on official UEFA data with credible reporting as a backup.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Villarreal will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Villarreal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Villarreal to win under UEFA Champions League rules, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. The primary resolution source is official information from the UEFA Champions League, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past this date or if no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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