Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Current price
0.55¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$713.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves on a straightforward sporting outcome according to official UEFA results or credible reporting. Market participants should note the explicit early resolution provision, which dictates that the market will resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Napoli to win (such as being eliminated in earlier stages or failing to qualify). Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or not completed by June 19, 2027, the market specifies resolution to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Napoli will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Napoli wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Napoli to win under tournament rules, such as elimination during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined by official information from the UEFA Champions League, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — The season must declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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