PolymarketCloses · in 243 daysPart of UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion →

Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Current price

4.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 4.5%
$469.5K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 4.5–4.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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This market has clear and objective resolution criteria based on official UEFA Champions League outcomes. Early resolution to No occurs if the team is eliminated from contention, and a firm longstop deadline of June 19, 2027 resolves the market to Other if the competition is cancelled or uncompleted. The primary resolution source is official UEFA information, supplemented by reporting consensus only if needed.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $865.2K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
4.4¢4.45¢4.5¢4.55¢4.6¢15:1123:1007:0815:06
4.4¢4.45¢4.5¢4.55¢4.6¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19
4¢5¢6¢7¢8¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 23Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Liverpool will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. It includes a specific fallback provision resolving the market to Other if the competition is cancelled or delayed past June 19, 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Liverpool wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Liverpool to win under UEFA Champions League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is decided using official information from the UEFA Champions League, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source.

Key dates

  • Winner Determination Deadline: — If no champion is declared by this date and time, the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

Official information from UEFA Champions League, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.