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PoliticsCloses · in 635 days$401.9 volumePart of: Democratic VP Nominee 2028 →

Will Adam Hamilton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first individual to formally receive and accept the Democratic Party's vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 election cycle.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first individual to formally receive and accept the Democratic Party's vice-presidential nomination for the 2028 election cycle. Official party sources, including the party's official website, serve as the resolution basis. The rules also explicitly note that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the outcome, leaving minimal room for conflicting interpretations.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

18%

chance

▲ +16.6 pts · 24h

Yes18¢
No82¢
Adam Hamilton · Yes · 1MO 1.1 H 17.6 L 1.1 C 17.6+16.6 (+1581.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +14 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 00:10 UTC

The price rose from 1% to 15% as part of a broader repricing across 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nominee outcomes, where 3 related candidates moved in the same period.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 61% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 636 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (up), Jon Ossoff (down), Elissa Slotkin (up).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 00:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Adam Hamilton will be the first individual to be formally nominated and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle.

How it resolves

The market resolves Yes if Adam Hamilton is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.

Resolution source

A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·