Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
0.65¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$1.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination. The criteria are straightforward and explicitly note that subsequent replacements will not alter the outcome. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, including their main website, which introduces minimal discretion as formal party nominations are clear, publicly documented events.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether George Clooney will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States. Resolution depends strictly on the first person formally nominated who accepts, meaning any subsequent nominee replacements prior to election day are disregarded.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if George Clooney is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first formally nominated and accepting Vice-Presidential nominee. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including Democrats.org
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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