Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
2.5¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.5%
$2.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what constitutes resolution: the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies directly on official Democratic Party sources, including their primary website. An explicit clause clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the market outcome, removing potential confusion around late-stage candidate changes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election. Unusually, resolution is fixed to the first person formally nominated who accepts, disregarding any subsequent replacements prior to election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Bernie Sanders is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another person is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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