Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.4¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.4%
$533 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the winning condition as the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, which provide clear and authoritative records of party proceedings. The rule specifying that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the outcome prevents ambiguity in the event of late changes to the ticket.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Hillary Clinton will be the first person formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day is disregarded.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Hillary Clinton is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. A replacement of the nominee before election day will not change how the market resolves. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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