Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.8¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.8%
$1.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, leaving little room for subjective interpretation. An explicit clause notes that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the initial resolution outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Roy Cooper will be the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party as their Vice-Presidential candidate for the 2028 US Presidential election and accept that nomination. The market's resolution is unusual because it focuses on the initial nominee, disregarding any subsequent replacements.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Roy Cooper is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if someone other than Roy Cooper is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, will decide the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
a consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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