Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
1.7¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.7%
$1.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and clearly defined, resolving based on the first person formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Official party sources, including the official party website, serve as the resolution basis. The rules explicitly clarify that a subsequent replacement after the initial formal nomination and acceptance does not change the resolution outcome, leaving little room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether J.B. Pritzker will be the Democratic Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if J.B. Pritzker is the first person to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. A replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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