Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
0.55¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$2.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election cycle and accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, specifically highlighting the party's official website. Additionally, the rules clarify that subsequent replacements of the nominee will not retroactively alter the outcome once the initial formal nomination and acceptance have occurred.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Stephen A. Smith will become the Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election. Resolution fixes on the first person to formally accept the nomination, ignoring any later replacement before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Stephen A. Smith is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Stephen A. Smith is not the nominee. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the resolution. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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