Geopolitics markets
5 live Polymarket markets in 5 events- LowGotcha
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.7¢−3.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–6.5¢ - LowGotcha
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.35¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.45–2.35¢ - LowGotcha
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.85¢−3.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.8–7.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.3¢−0.75¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–3.85¢ - LowGotcha
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks59¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 52.5–61¢