Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$813.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market outlines straightforward criteria requiring the named individual to win and accept the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, verified through official party sources. An explicit rule confirms that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not retroactively alter the outcome. Because major party presidential nominations are definitive, widely documented official proceedings, participants face minimal ambiguity or interpretive leeway.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Rick Scott wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Rick Scott wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if Rick Scott does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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