Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.35¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$8.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly resolves to Yes if Glenn Youngkin officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, and No otherwise. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than a single specifically designated document, but major political party presidential nominations are unambiguous public events. The rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not reverse a Yes resolution once the initial nomination has been won and accepted.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Glenn Youngkin wins and accepts the Republican Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Glenn Youngkin wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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