Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$10.6M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly align with the standard outcome of the 2028 Republican National Convention, requiring the named candidate to both win and formally accept the presidential nomination. The rule specifying that any post-convention replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the outcome protects against post-nomination developments. While the resolution mechanism relies generally on a consensus of official party sources rather than designating a specific official website or document, official party outcomes for major party nominations are publicly formalized with minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eric Trump wins and accepts the Republican Party nomination for U.S. president for the 2028 election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Eric Trump wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not alter the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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