Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$28.6M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly define what constitutes a positive outcome: winning and accepting the 2028 presidential nomination of the Republican Party. Resolution is determined by official Republican Party sources, and the rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market result. There are no unusual edge-case conditions or ambiguous definitions likely to surprise participants.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kim Kardashian will win and accept the Republican Party nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kim Kardashian wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. A replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not alter the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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